BEIJING (Reuters) - China's industrial profits grew faster in July, data showed on Tuesday, even as sluggish domestic demand weighs on the recovery in the world's second-largest economy.

Profits in July jumped 4.1% from a year earlier following a 3.6% rise in June, according to National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) data.

For the January-July period, profits expanded slightly faster at 3.6% compared with 3.5% in the first half, offering some hope of improving momentum amid dreary factory output, export, prices and banking lending numbers earlier in August.

Tamer shipments last month raised a red flag over the country's export-driven recovery and heightened concerns about frail domestic demand.

China's July bank loans recorded the first contraction in 19 years, central bank data showed earlier.

Electric vehicle battery giant CATL recorded faster profit growth in the second quarter, but its revenue fell at a faster clip during the quarter, as EV sales slow in the world's largest auto market.

Amid lacklustre demand, a prolonged housing downturn and employment worries, Beijing is looking to pivot its stimulus toward consumption.

At a cabinet plenary session earlier this month, Premier Li Qiang vowed to boost the economy with a focus on consumption.

State-owned firms booked a 1% rise in profits in the first seven months, foreign firms posted a 9.9% gain, while private-sector companies saw profits up 7.3%, NBS data showed.

Industrial profit numbers cover firms with annual revenue of at least 20 million yuan ($2.80 million) from their main operations.

($1 = 7.1395 Chinese yuan)

By Elizabeth Pineau

PARIS (Reuters) -French President Emmanuel Macron ruled out naming a prime minister from the leftist New Popular Front alliance and will instead start a new round of consultations on Tuesday with parties to try to form a new government, Macron's office said.

Realising a government led by the New Popular Front (NFP) would immediately face a no-confidence vote in parliament from all other parties, Macron will confer with party heads and political leaders, the statement said on Monday. The NFP is a broad alliance of parties ranging from the moderate Socialists to Jean-Luc Melenchon's far-left France Unbowed.

Macron's announcement suggests there is no imminent end in sight to the country's political crisis after he called a shock snap election that delivered an unwieldy hung parliament.

No grouping emerged from the snap election earlier this summer with a majority, with the vote evenly split between the New Popular Front, Macron's centrist bloc and the far-right National Rally.

The New Popular Front won more votes than any other party, and has argued that its candidate, little known civil servant Lucie Castets, should be named prime minister.

Castets told Macron on Friday that the left is entitled to form the next government. The Elysee statement came after the New Popular Front said it would not take part in any new consultations unless it was to discuss Castets' nomination.

Leaders from France's far-right National Rally said earlier on Monday their party will block any prime ministerial candidate from the New Popular Front, narrowing Macron's options to resolve the stalemate.

Marine Le Pen and Jordan Bardella, the political tag team that runs the National Rally, met with Macron on Monday. After their one-hour meeting, Bardella said the NFP was a "danger" for the country.

"The New Popular Front in its programme, in its movements, as well as the personalities who embody it represents a danger to public order, civil peace and obviously for the economic life of the country," Bardella told reporters. "We intend to protect the country from a government that would fracture French society."

It remains to be seen who Macron will turn to. The eventual name, someone with the broadest possible appeal, will still need to win approval from lawmakers, and if they say no, Macron will have to go back to the drawing board.

Macron had until now ignored the New Popular Front's nomination, and a source close to him said he believed the balance of power lies more with the centre or centre-right.

Some possible candidates that Macron is mulling include a conservative regional president, Xavier Bertrand, and former Socialist Prime Minister Bernard Cazeneuve, sources have said. French media recently mentioned Karim Bouamrane, the Socialist mayor of an impoverished Paris suburb, as another possible name.

Le Pen suggested Macron could call a referendum to chart a path out of the chaos, and said she was opposed to a so-called "technical" government of apolitical technocrats, saying "there are only political governments hiding behind technical names."

LONDON (Reuters) -The latest earnings from AI darling Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) and key inflation numbers in the euro area and Australia should keep markets busy in the coming week.

Gold's relentless climb to record highs and a dollar under pressure as U.S. rate cut speculation builds are also in investors' sights.

Here's your guide to the week ahead in financial markets from Rae Wee in Singapore, Sruthi Shankar in Bangalore, Ira Iosebashvili in New York, Yoruk Bahceli in Amsterdam, and Pratima Desai in London.

1/ NVIDIA, YOU'RE UP

Investor enthusiasm for artificial intelligence could be tested when chipmaker Nvidia reports earnings on Aug. 28. 

Nvidia’s chips are seen as the gold standard in the AI-space and its shares are up around 160% this year, helping to power the S&P 500 to record highs.

But the stock's stunning, multi-year run and the AI-mania have also drawn comparisons to the dot-com craze that imploded more than two decades ago.

Investors’ reaction to disappointing results from megacap names such as Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL) and Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) last month suggests markets may not be in a forgiving mood, especially when valuations for many companies in the sector are stretched. 

Data highlights meanwhile include Friday's U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index, a key inflation gauge tracked by the Federal Reserve.

2/ WHEN SEPTEMBER COMES

August euro zone inflation numbers on Friday will be key to European Central Bank policymakers deciding whether or not to cut rates in September.

The data, preceded by national releases starting on Thursday, follows a small but unexpected rise in July, highlighting a bumpy last mile in curbing inflation.

Headline inflation may ease as oil prices have fallen, but focus will remain on the core figure and the dominant services sector, where price growth remains stickier.

Any upside surprises may warrant caution, as traders have ramped up ECB rate cut bets in recent weeks. Focus has turned to growth risks, but euro zone business activity showed surprising strength in August.

Traders fully price in another 25 basis point rate cut on Sept. 12, and see a high chance of two more moves after that by year-end.

3/ HIGH STAKES

The stakes are high for the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), which has insisted that interest rates need to stay restrictive for an "extended period" since underlying inflation remains too high for comfort.

Wednesday's July inflation numbers could show headline inflation diving back into the RBA's 2-3% target band for the first time in three years.

And any signs that inflation pressures are abating could pile pressure on the central bank. It has become an outlier globally with a reluctance to lower rates while many peers look to kick off, or have already begun, easing cycles.

Investors are also hoping that Wednesday's data could provide some relief to consumer sentiment, which has taken a hit from the weight of steep borrowing costs.

Elsewhere, Tokyo's August inflation report on Friday potentially offers further clues on Japan's rate outlook.

4/ EURO BULLS

The euro is at its highest this year against the dollar, benefiting from recent ructions in global markets.

Diverging U.S. and euro area rate expectations are behind its gains. Traders price around 100 bps of Fed rate cuts by year-end, up sharply from before the latest U.S. payrolls data, while only fully pricing two more 25 bps ECB cuts.

The question is whether the euro, also at its highest on a trade-weighted basis on record, can sustain its momentum.

Germany's business activity contracted by more than expected in August, a negative sign for Europe's economic engine, while euro zone wage growth slowed last quarter, supporting the case for an ECB September cut.

Euro bulls are a shy bunch, price action in recent years suggests. They may need more convincing of the euro's rebound before coming out in force.

5/ ALL THAT GLITTERS

Gold has hit consecutive records since 2022, and has surged over 20% so far this year. Now $3,000 an ounce beckons.

The stars have aligned for the precious metal used primarily to preserve wealth during periods of heightened security risks and political and economic turmoil.

Russia's war on Ukraine triggered gold's rally in February 2022. Soaring commodity prices in the aftermath fueled inflation, which erodes the value of monetary assets.

Middle East tensions and uncertainty from the fast-approaching U.S. Presidential election have spurred further gains.

Reinforcing the buy bullion trade is the prospect of U.S. interest rate cuts, pressuring the U.S. currency and boosting gold's appeal. It has a negative relationship with the dollar.

But gold bulls should bear in mind the old adage that "nothing goes up in a straight line" because markets typically "buy the rumour, sell the fact".

By Devayani Sathyan

BENGALURU (Reuters) - India's economic growth likely moderated and grew at its slowest pace in a year in the April-June quarter due to lower government spending amid a national election that concluded in June, a Reuters poll found.

Growth in Asia's third-largest economy had been well above 7% during previous quarters thanks to strong capital expenditure by the government led by Prime Minister Narendra Modi in a bid to secure a third term in the election.

However, holding back on public spending ahead of the parliamentary elections has hurt growth. While the Modi-led Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) came back to power, it lost its outright majority in the lower house.

In the April-June quarter, gross domestic product (GDP) was forecast to have grown an annual 6.9%, down from 7.8% in the preceding quarter, the Aug. 19-26 poll of 52 economists showed. Forecasts ranged from 6.0% to 8.1%.

The government is scheduled to announce data for the April-June quarter on Friday.

If the median forecast is realised, India will remain the world's fastest growing major economy.

Official GDP growth releases for the preceding few quarters have surpassed predictions.

"The public spending slowdown was significant both by the centre and the states, especially on the capex front. So, there is the transitory element of growth slowdown. However...private consumption growth was better than the previous quarter and overall manufacturing and non-public services were steady," said Dhiraj Nim, an economist at ANZ.

"I will be watching out for how strong the private consumption revival is because that would perhaps tell us how sustainable growth rates become over the coming quarters."

Going forward, growth was expected to moderate, averaging 7.0% this fiscal year and 6.7% in the next, unchanged from a previous poll.

While economic growth in the previous quarter was close to 8%, consumption - accounting for over 50% of GDP - grew just half that pace.

To boost consumption, the government assigned billions of dollars to rural spending and job creation in its first post-election budget.

The economy was expected to grow 6.5-7.0% this fiscal year, the latest government estimates showed.

"We anticipate a modest improvement in domestic demand, although it has not yet emerged as a significant driver of growth...the sustained weakness in core inflation suggests that real consumption recovery is still a few quarters away," noted Kunal Kundu, India economist at Societe Generale (OTC:SCGLY).

Consumer price inflation, 3.54% in July, was expected to average around 4.5% this fiscal year and next.

(Other stories from the Reuters global economic poll)

SHANGHAI (Reuters) - China's central bank rolled over maturing medium-term loans and injected cash through its liquidity instruments on Monday, underlining market expectations for further easing as the economy struggles to gain traction.

The People's Bank of China (PBOC) said it was keeping the rate on 300 billion yuan ($42.11 billion) worth of one-year medium-term lending facility (MLF) loans to some financial institutions at 2.30%, unchanged from the previous operation.

And it injected another 471 billion yuan through seven-day reverse repos while keeping borrowing costs unchanged at 1.70%.

"Today's outcome adds to expectation for a near-term reserve requirement ratio (RRR) cut," said Frances Cheung, head of FX and rates strategy at OCBC Bank.

"Meanwhile, as U.S. rates fell further, there may also be renewed expectations for an interest rate cut (in China)."

China is struggling with a prolonged property crisis that has curbed investment and dented consumer demand.

Monday's reverse repo operation was meant to "keep month-end banking system liquidity conditions reasonably ample," the central bank said in an online statement.

A batch of 401 billion yuan worth of MLF loans was due earlier this month, when the PBOC said it would postpone the loan rollover.

The postponement and the sequence of a string of key interest rate cuts last month suggested that the central bank has changed its monetary policy framework, market watchers said, shifting the short-term rate to being the main signal guiding markets.

OCBC's Cheung expected the difference in yields between 5-year and 30-year, and 2-year and 30-year China government bond yields, to steepen.

PBOC Governor Pan Gongsheng, in remarks published in state media on Saturday, said the central bank would adhere to supportive monetary policy to guide reasonable growth in credit lending and help the world's second-largest economy.

On Friday, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell made it clear the U.S. central bank would not shy away from pivoting to interest rate cuts in the final weeks of a presidential election campaign and that protecting the job market was now its top priority.

($1 = 7.1244 Chinese yuan)

Investing.com -- The rally in U.S. markets will be tested this week when earnings from chipmaking giant Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) are released. U.S. inflation data will likely underline expectations for long awaited rate cuts, while the Eurozone and Australia are also to release inflation data that will inform the trajectory of interest rates. Here's your look at what's happening in markets for the week ahead.

1. Nvidia results

Investor enthusiasm for artificial intelligence could be tested when Nvidia reports earnings after the close on Wednesday.

The earnings report along with guidance on whether it expects corporate investments in AI to continue, could be a key inflection point for market sentiment heading into what is historically a volatile time of the year.

Nvidia stock is up some 150% year-to-date, accounting for around a quarter of the S&P 500’s 17% year-to-date gain. But the stunning, multi-year run and AI-mania have also drawn comparisons to the dot-com craze that imploded more than two decades ago.

The results come at the end of an earnings season during which investors have taken a less forgiving view of big tech companies whose earnings failed to justify rich valuations or prodigious spending on AI. Examples include Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT), Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) and Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL), whose shares are all down since their July reports.

2. U.S. data

The highlight of the economic calendar will be Friday's Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index, the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation yardstick.

Speaking at the Fed’s annual Jackson Hole symposium on Friday, Fed Chair Jerome Powell acknowledged recent progress on inflation and said that “the time has come for policy to adjust.”

"We do not see or welcome further weakening in labor market conditions," Powell added in a speech that appeared to all but guarantee a rate cut at next month's policy meeting, which would be the first such cut in over four years.

The economic calendar also includes a report on durable goods orders on Monday and revised second-quarter GDP figures on Thursday along with the weekly report on initial jobless claims.

3. Eurozone inflation

Eurozone inflation data for August, due for release on Friday, will be pivotal in shaping the European Central Bank’s decision on interest rates for September.

This report, which follows national releases beginning on Thursday, comes after a small but unexpected uptick in inflation in July, signalling challenges in bringing inflation under control.

While headline inflation is expected to ease, partly due to falling oil prices, attention will remain on core inflation and the services sector, where price increases have proven more persistent.

Any upside surprises in the data could prompt caution, especially as traders have increased their expectations for an ECB rate cut in recent weeks.

Market expectations are heavily tilted towards a 25-basis point rate cut on September 12, with a high probability of additional cuts by the end of the year.

4. Australia inflation

Wednesday's July inflation numbers could show headline inflation pulling back into the Reserve Bank of Australia’s 2-3% target band for the first time in three years.

Any indication that inflationary pressures are easing could intensify scrutiny on the central bank, seen as a global outlier for its reluctance to cut rates while many other central banks have embarked on, or are contemplating, easing cycles.

Investors are also looking to Wednesday’s data to potentially offer some relief to consumer sentiment, which has been weighed down by high borrowing costs.

Elsewhere, Tokyo’s August inflation report, due for release on Friday, may provide further clues into Japan's monetary policy outlook.

5. Gold

Gold has reached consecutive record highs since 2022 and has surged over 20% so far this year, with $3,000 an ounce now within sight.

The precious metal, traditionally viewed as a safe haven during periods of heightened security risks and political and economic instability, has benefitted from several converging factors.

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 triggered an initial rally in gold prices. Rising commodity prices and subsequent inflation, which erodes the value of fiat currencies, further supported the uptrend.

Ongoing tensions in the Middle East and uncertainty surrounding the upcoming U.S. Presidential election have also contributed to gold’s gains. Additionally, expectations of U.S. interest rate cuts are pressuring the dollar, making gold more attractive as it typically has an inverse relationship with the U.S. currency.

However, gold investors should be cautious, as markets often experience corrections with the adage "nothing goes up in a straight line," reflecting the tendency to "buy the rumour, sell the fact."

--Reuters contributed reporting

By Ingrid Melander and Guy Faulconbridge

PARIS/MOSCOW (Reuters) -Pavel Durov, the Russian-born billionaire founder and owner of the Telegram messaging app, was arrested at Le Bourget airport outside Paris shortly after landing on a private jet late on Saturday and placed in custody, three sources told Reuters.

The arrest of the 39-year-old technology billionaire prompted on Sunday a warning from Moscow to Paris that he should be accorded his rights and criticism from X owner Elon Musk who said that free speech in Europe was under attack.

There was no official confirmation from France of the arrest, but two French police sources and one Russian source who spoke on condition of anonymity said that Durov was arrested shortly after arriving at Le Bourget airport on a private jet from Azerbaijan.

One of the two French police sources said that ahead of the jet's arrival, police had spotted he was on the passenger list and moved to arrest him because he was the subject of an arrest warrant in France.

"Telegram abides by EU laws, including the Digital Services Act — its moderation is within industry standards and constantly improving," Telegram said in a statement on the arrest.

"Telegram's CEO Pavel Durov has nothing to hide and travels frequently in Europe," it said. "It is absurd to claim that a platform or its owner are responsible for abuse of that platform."

Durov, who has dual French and United Arab Emirates citizenship, was arrested as part of a preliminary police investigation into allegedly allowing a wide range of crimes due to a lack of moderators on Telegram and a lack of cooperation with police, a third French police source said.

A cybersecurity gendarmerie unit and France's national anti-fraud police unit are leading the investigation, that source said, adding that the investigative judge was specialised in organised crime.

"We’re awaiting a prompt resolution of this situation. Telegram is with you all," Telegram said.

The French Interior Ministry, police and Paris prosecutor's office had no comment.

Russian lawmaker Maria Butina, who spent 15 months in U.S. prison for acting as an unregistered Russian agent, said Durov "is a political prisoner - a victim of a witch-hunt by the West." Durov's arrest led news bulletins in Russia.

Telegram, based in Dubai, was founded by Durov, who left Russia in 2014 after he refused to comply with demands to shut down opposition communities on his VK social media platform, which he has sold.

The encrypted application, with close to 1 billion users, is particularly influential in Russia, Ukraine and the republics of the former Soviet Union. It is ranked as one of the major social media platforms after Facebook (NASDAQ:META), YouTube, WhatsApp, Instagram, TikTok and WeChat.

TELEGRAM'S ORIGIN AND INFLUENCE

Durov, who is estimated by Forbes to have a fortune of $15.5 billion, said in April some governments had sought to pressure him, but the app should remain a neutral platform and not a "player in geopolitics".

Durov came up with the idea for an encrypted messaging app while facing pressure in Russia. His younger brother, Nikolai, designed the encryption.

"I would rather be free than to take orders from anyone," Durov said in April about his exit from Russia and search for a home for his company, which included stints in Berlin, London, Singapore and San Francisco.

After Russia launched its invasion of Ukraine in 2022, Telegram has become the main source of unfiltered - and sometimes graphic and misleading - content from both sides about the war and the politics surrounding the conflict.

The platform has become what some analysts call "a virtual battlefield" for the war, used heavily by Ukraine's President Volodymyr Zelenskiy and his officials, as well as the Russian government.

Russia's foreign ministry said it had sent a note to Paris demanding access to Durov, although it said that he had French citizenship.

Former Russian President Dmitry Medvedev said that Durov had misjudged by fleeing Russia and thinking that he would never have to cooperate with the security services abroad.

Medvedev, who regularly uses Telegram to criticise and insult the West, said Durov wanted to be a "brilliant 'man of the world' who lives wonderfully without a Motherland."

"He miscalculated," Medvedev said. "For all our common enemies now, he is Russian – and therefore unpredictable and dangerous."

Russia began blocking Telegram in 2018 after the app refused to comply with a court order granting state security services access to its users' encrypted messages.

The action interrupted many third-party services, but had little effect on the availability of Telegram there. The ban order, however, sparked mass protests in Moscow and criticism from NGOs.

PLATFORM UNDER SCRUTINY

Telegram says it "is committed to protecting user privacy and human rights such as freedom of speech and assembly."

Durov has previously accused U.S. law enforcement agencies such as the FBI of seeking to get a backdoor into the platform. The FBI has not commented on those allegations.

Telegram's increasing popularity, however, has prompted scrutiny from several countries in Europe, including France, on security and data breach concerns.

Musk, billionaire owner of X, the social media platform formerly known as Twitter, said after reports of Durov's detention: "It's 2030 in Europe and you’re being executed for liking a meme."

Outside the French embassy in Moscow, a lone protester held a sign reading: "Liberté pour Pavel Durov".

LONDON (Reuters) - The latest earnings from AI darling Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) and key inflation numbers in the euro area and Australia should keep markets busy in the coming week.

Gold's relentless climb to record highs and a dollar under pressure as U.S. rate cut speculation builds are also in investors' sights.

Here's your guide to the week ahead in financial markets from Rae Wee in Singapore, Sruthi Shankar in Bangalore, Ira Iosebashvili in New York, Yoruk Bahceli in Amsterdam, and Pratima Desai in London.

1/ NVIDIA, YOU'RE UP

Investor enthusiasm for artificial intelligence could be tested when chipmaker Nvidia reports earnings on Aug. 28. 

Nvidia’s chips are seen as the gold standard in the AI-space and its shares are up around 150% this year, helping to power the S&P 500 to record highs.

But the stock's stunning, multi-year run and the AI-mania have also drawn comparisons to the dot-com craze that imploded more than two decades ago.

Investors’ reaction to disappointing results from megacap names such as Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL) and Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) last month suggests markets may not be in a forgiving mood, especially when valuations for many companies in the sector are stretched. 

Data highlights meanwhile include Friday's U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index, a key inflation gauge tracked by the Federal Reserve.

2/ WHEN SEPTEMBER COMES

August euro zone inflation numbers on Friday will be key to European Central Bank policymakers deciding whether or not to cut rates in September.

The data, preceded by national releases starting on Thursday, follows a small but unexpected rise in July, highlighting a bumpy last mile in curbing inflation.

Headline inflation may ease as oil prices have fallen, but focus will remain on the core figure and the dominant services sector, where price growth remains stickier.

Any upside surprises may warrant caution, as traders have ramped up ECB rate cut bets in recent weeks. Focus has turned to growth risks, but euro zone business activity showed surprising strength in August.

Traders fully price in another 25 basis point rate cut on Sept. 12, and see a high chance of two more moves after that by year-end.

3/ HIGH STAKES

The stakes are high for the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), which has insisted that interest rates need to stay restrictive for an "extended period" since underlying inflation remains too high for comfort.

Wednesday's July inflation numbers could show headline inflation diving back into the RBA's 2-3% target band for the first time in three years.

And any signs that inflation pressures are abating could pile pressure on the central bank. It has become an outlier globally with a reluctance to lower rates while many peers look to kick off, or have already begun, easing cycles.

Investors are also hoping that Wednesday's data could provide some relief to consumer sentiment, which has taken a hit from the weight of steep borrowing costs.

Elsewhere, Tokyo's August inflation report on Friday potentially offers further clues on Japan's rate outlook.

4/ EURO BULLS

The euro is at its highest this year against the dollar, benefiting from recent ructions in global markets.

SINGAPORE (Reuters) - Singapore's key consumer price gauge rose 2.5% in July from a year earlier, the smallest increase since February 2022, official data showed on Friday.

The core inflation rate - which excludes private road transport and accommodation costs - was lower than a 2.9% forecast in a Reuters poll, and compared with the 2.9% seen in June.

It was the smallest annual increase in the core price index since February 2022, when it rose 2.2%.

Headline inflation in February was up 2.4% from the same month last year, lower than the 2.5% forecast in the poll. It was the lowest headline inflation rate since August 2021.

Inflation in the Asian financial hub has cooled from a peak of 5.5% in early 2023, but only dropped below 3% in June.

The Monetary Authority of Singapore expects core inflation to ease more significantly in the final quarter of this year. It has forecast core inflation at 2.5% to 3.5% this year.

Last week, the trade ministry adjusted its GDP growth forecast range for 2024 to 2.0% to 3.0%, from 1.0% to 3.0% previously after the economy posted stronger-than-expected second quarter growth.

By Stella Qiu

SYDNEY (Reuters) - Asian shares stuttered on Friday while the dollar rebounded from one-year lows as investors were cautious ahead of a speech by the world's most powerful central banker with markets looking for confirmation U.S. rate cuts would start in September.

The Japanese yen gained 0.3% to 145.77 per dollar while bond yields edged up as Bank of Japan Kazuo Ueda spoke before lawmakers.

Traders see very little chance that the BOJ could hike rates in October after the recent sell-off, but Ueda stuck to the script by saying the central bank stood ready to raise rates if the economy and prices move in line with its forecast.

Data out early in the day showed Japan's core inflation accelerated for a third straight month, but a slowdown in demand-drive price gains suggest no urgency for any immediate rate hikes.

Krishna Bhimavarapu, APAC economist at State Street (NYSE:STT) Global Advisors, expects the stronger yen and reintroduction of energy subsidies to slow inflation in the near-term.

"If the data evolves as we expect, it could mean that the next BOJ hike may not come until December as fears of rapid inflation ease to an extent."

On Friday, MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan fell 0.4% but were headed for a weekly gain of 0.6%. The Nikkei was flat near three-week highs.

China's blue chips gained 0.3%, although Hong Kong's Hang Seng fell 0.4% while South Korea dropped 0.5%.

Overnight, Wall Street fell as sentiment turned cautious ahead of the Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's speech in Jackson Hole. Three Fed speakers on Thursday alluded to a rate cut in September, with them voicing support for a "slow and methodical" approach.

Taken together with surveys showing the U.S. economy still growing at a healthy pace, markets slightly pared back the chance of an outsized half-point cut in September to 24%, from 38% a day earlier. A quarter-point reduction is fully priced in.

Robert Carnell, regional head of research, Asia-Pacific, at ING, noted there was still scope for Powell's speech to excite or disappoint markets given the market pricing, but much will depend on data.

"As any decision that deviates from market pricing will rest on as yet unknown data, it is hard to see how Powell can commit to much beyond some easing of some sort in September, and even then, only barring data accidents," said Carnell.

Treasury yields slipped a little on Friday, having gained overnight for the first time in five sessions. Ten-year yields fell 2 basis points to 3.8426% in Asia and were down 5 bps for the week.

Two-year yields also dropped 3 bps to 3.9845% and were down 8 bps for the week.

Declining yields pressured the dollar to one-year lows, although it did get some respite from selling pressure overnight. The euro came off its one-year high at $1.1119, with major resistance seen at $1.1139.

Wall Street futures rose between 0.2%-0.4% and commodities looked set to end the week lower.

Brent crude futures were flat at $76.04 a barrel, although they are down more than 3% for the week as swelling U.S. crude stocks and a weakening demand outlook in China have raised pessimism. [O/R]

Gold prices are 0.7% lower in the week to $2,488.13 an ounce, having hit a record high of $2,531.6 just on Tuesday.