U.S. stock index futures fell on Sunday evening as a rebound on Wall Street, from correction territory, appeared to have stalled in the face of uncertainty over trade tariffs and the economy.

Investors were also on guard before more economic cues from a Federal Reserve meeting this week, with the central bank widely expected to keep rates unchanged. 

Futures fell after a positive Friday session on Wall Street, where a measure of bargain buying helped indexes rebound from near six-month lows. Sunday’s losses suggested that this rebound was fleeting and unlikely to carry over into this week.

Comments from Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent- who downplayed recent losses in equity markets- also did little to lift spirits. 

S&P 500 Futures fell 0.6% to 5,655.75 points, while Nasdaq 100 Futures fell 0.8% to 19,765.25 points by 19:06 ET (23:06 GMT). Dow Jones Futures fell 0.5% to 41,635.0 points. 

Fed meeting, econ data on tap this week

The Fed is widely expected to keep interest rates unchanged at the conclusion of a meeting later this week, amid continued uncertainty over the economy under President Donald Trump.

Trump’s flip-flopping on trade tariffs against major trading partners, coupled with his continued threats of more tariffs, were a key point of uncertainty for markets in recent months. 

Uncertainty over the economy also contributed to growing fears of a recession, with the Fed likely to comment on this trend. 

Recent data showed inflation remained resilient, while retail sentiment and the labor market cooled. The latter could give the Fed some impetus to soften its hawkish stance on rates. 

Investing.com - U.S. stock futures tick higher on Friday following a sell-off on Wall Street that pushed the S&P 500 down into correction territory. Elon Musk-led Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) warns of the impact of President Donald Trump’s tariffs on U.S. electric car manufacturers, while a metric of consumer sentiment for March is due to be released and Senate Democrats look set to provide enough backing to pass a Republican stopgap bill to avert a federal government shutdown.

1. Futures higher

U.S. stock futures pointed higher on Friday after the benchmark S&P 500 tumbled into correction territory in the prior session as investors further soured over President Trump’s tariff plans.

By 03:44 ET (07:44 GMT), the S&P 500 futures had edged up by 26 points or 0.5%, Nasdaq 100 futures had risen by 123 points or 0.6%, and Dow futures had climbed by 123 points or 0.3%.

The S&P 500 sank by 1.4% on Thursday, bringing it down by 10.1% from a peak reached less than a month ago. The slump, which places the average in what is referred to as a correction, has been driven by a near-constant stream of on-and-off trade pronouncements from Trump and lingering unease over a series of layoffs of federal workers.

In other indices, the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 shed just under 2.0% and the small-cap-focused Russell 2000 dipped by 1.6%. Both were already in correction. Meanwhile, the blue-chip Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 1.3%.

Despite the declines, Trump administration officials maintained a steadfast defense of their agenda, particularly moves to place punishing tariffs on friends and adversaries alike, as necessary steps to amend trade imbalances and boost job growth. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said on Thursday that he was "not concerned about a little bit of volatility over three weeks."

Undermining sentiment was Trump’s threat on Thursday to slap 200% duties on European wine and champagne in response to an announcement from the European Union of retaliatory import tariffs on a host of U.S. products, including whiskey and Harley-Davidson (NYSE:HOG) motorcycles.

2. Tesla warns of tariff impact

Tesla has warned that it could be exposed to the impact of foreign countries rolling out their own import tariffs as an answer to Trump’s levies.

The electric vehicle giant, whose CEO Elon Musk has become a close advisor to Trump and has overseen a White House effort to downsize the federal government, made the warning in an unsigned letter to the U.S. Trade Representative.

"As a U.S. manufacturer and exporter, Tesla encourages USTR to consider the downstream impacts of certain proposed actions taken to address unfair trade practices," the company wrote.

It noted that past trade actions by the U.S. have resulted in "immediate reactions by the targeted countries," including increased tariffs on EVs imported into those countries. These have pushed up costs to manufacture vehicles in the U.S. and expenses for those same care when exported, resulting in a "less competitive international marketplace for U.S. manufacturers," Tesla said.

Trump has floated place harsh tariffs on cars and parts made around in the world from April 2 in a bid to promote domestic carmaking. However, Tesla flagged that, even with the localization of supply chains, some components are "difficult or impossible to source within the United States."

3. Consumer sentiment data ahead

On the economic calendar, markets will be eyeing the latest gauge of consumer sentiment from the University of Michigan, as traders hope to glean more insight into the recently downbeat state of the American shopper.

The preliminary measure for March is tipped to edge lower. In February, it declined to a seven-month low due to rising worries over the negative effects of Trump’s tariffs on their purchasing power. Notably, the survey found that the dip occurred across age and wealth groups as well as political affiliations.

Expectations for inflation over the coming year also soared to their highest mark since November 2023, while they saw price gains in five years climbing to the highest point since June 2008.

The numbers contributed to burgeoning concerns on Wall Street that Trump’s levies, which economists have warned could drive up recently-waning inflationary pressures, could also weigh on broader economic activity. Data this week has suggested that both consumer and producer price growth cooled in February, although fears remained that the impact of the tariffs is still to come.

4. Senate Democrats seen backing GOP stopgap bill

Senate Democrats are expected to back a Republican-written stopgap bill to avoid a government shutdown on Friday, even as reports suggested lingering internal dissent within the party.

Chuck Schumer, the leading Democrat in the senior chamber of the U.S. Congress, said on Thursday that he would support the measure, in a sign that the party will provide enough votes for it to be advanced. While Republicans control the Senate, they will need some Democratic support to break any potential filibuster against the bill.

Schumer did not specify how other Senate Democrats would vote, with the New York Times (NYSE:NYT) reporting that he surprised many of his colleagues when he announced at a private luncheon that he planned to allow the bill to move forward.

Earlier this week, Schumer had said Democrats were "unified" in their opposition to the legislation, even as a midnight Friday deadline to keep federal funding taps open loomed.

Along with tariffs and a spree of massive federal layoffs, analysts have cited the legislative wrangling in Congress as yet another source of uncertainty for markets in recent weeks.

5. Oil rises amid elusive Ukraine peace deal

Oil prices bounced on Friday after Russian President Vladimir Putin suggested that a U.S. proposal for a ceasefire in the war in Ukraine needed some reworking.

Putin said on Thursday that while Russia supported the plan in principle, more clarifications and conditions on a range of points had to be sorted out before the fighting could come to a halt.

For crude markets, traders are attempting to assess whether a deal may eventually lead to the lifting of sanctions on Russia and the return of energy supplies to the global market. In theory, such an event could drive down oil prices.

Elsewhere, gold continued to hover around an all-time high as escalating trade tensions bolstered its appeal as a safe-haven asset. Bitcoin, meanwhile, is on pace to fall by almost 5% this week, with risk appetite battered and investors cautious ahead of a Federal Reserve meeting next week.

By Makiko Yamazaki and Tom Bateman

TOKYO (Reuters) -Japanese firms agreed to raise wages by more than 5% on average this year, on course for their most substantial pay hike in over three decades - a relief for many workers though it’s unclear if the increases will lead to a meaningful jump in consumer spending.

As annual labour negotiations wrapped up this week, many of Japan’s biggest companies said they met union demands in full. Some, such as electronics conglomerate Hitachi (OTC:HTHIY), delivered record pay increases, though a few sectors were left out of the cold and it remains to be seen how workers at many smaller firms will fare.

Hefty pay hikes have been seen as essential to counter inflation-induced sharp increases in the cost of living. Many companies, emboldened by record profits on the back of a weak yen, are also keen to retain staff amid labour shortages.

More broadly, policymakers have long urged Japan Inc to lift pay so that ordinary citizens might break out of a mindset conditioned by decades of deflation that has made them reluctant to spend with confidence.

The 5.46% preliminary reading from Rengo, a 7 million member-strong group represents the third year in a row of substantive increases for base pay and is likely to mark the highest increase in 34 years.

The number compares with last year’s preliminary reading of 5.28% which was then revised down over several stages to 5.1%. Final tallies are usually lower than preliminary figures as most agreements between smaller companies and their unions are factored in later.

Economists have not been overly optimistic that even substantial wage growth will be enough to spur consumers to loosen their purse strings.

Headline consumer inflation, including fresh food prices, hit 4.0% in January, its highest level in two years.

Nana Nagayama, 51, who was visiting Tokyo from the northern island of Hokkaido on a graduation trip for her daughter, said her husband hasn’t mentioned any expectations of a big increase and expects money to continue to be tight.

"This trip, for example, my husband didn’t come so that we could save money," she said.

Underlining how wage growth is a top priority, Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba this week ordered authorities to look at ways to encourage higher pay for truckers. He also said the government would look at taking measures so that smaller firms can pass on higher costs to customers, enabling them to pay workers more.

Rengo’s member unions sought an average hike of 6.09% this year, up from 5.85% in 2024 and marking the first time in 32 years that they have asked for more than 6%.

This year, Rengo has focused on achieving strong pay rises for smaller firms.

"The average increase for smaller companies was at its highest for the first time in 33 years but there’s still a big gap between pay at workers in small firms and those at larger ones. As wage talks typically continue at smaller firms in April and May, we will continue to support them," President Tomoko Yoshino told a press conference.

Investing.com-- Most Asian currencies ticked lower on Friday, set for weekly declines, as the U.S. dollar firmed amid more tariff threats from U.S. President Donald Trump, while the Chinese yuan edged up after the central bank pledged fresh stimulus measures to boost economic growth.

The US Dollar Index rose 0.1% in Asian trading, drifting further away from a four-month low it reached last week. 

Chinese yuan ticks up on PBoC stimulus pledge

The Chinese yuan’s offshore USD/CNH and onshore USD/CNY pairs edged 0.1% lower, each.

China’s central bank, the People’s Bank of China (PBoC), announced plans on Thursday to implement additional monetary tools aimed at stimulating growth. 

These measures include potential interest rate cuts and maintaining the stability of the yuan amid a challenging global economic environment. 

Asian currencies set for weekly losses amid escalating trade tensions

Trump escalated trade tensions on Thursday, threatening a 200% tariff on European alcoholic beverages, such as wines and champagnes, if the EU moves forward with its planned 50% tariff on American whiskey.

The EU’s decision, set to take effect on April 1, comes in retaliation to the U.S.’s newly implemented 25% tariffs on imported steel and aluminum.

Moreover, Trump is set to impose reciprocal tariffs all over the globe on April 2, which could further sour investor mood.

The Japanese yen’s USD/JPY pair rose 0.4%, and was set to inch up 0.2% this week.

The Malaysian ringgit’s USD/MYR pair gained 0.2%, on track for a 0.7% weekly rise. The Indian rupee’s USD/INR pair edged up 0.1%.

By Anjana Anil

(Reuters) - Gold hit a record high on Friday, as uncertainty over U.S. tariffs and fears of trade tensions propelled prices, along with increased expectations of monetary policy easing by the Federal Reserve.

Spot gold eased 0.1% to $2,983.78 an ounce as of 0132 GMT, after hitting a record high of $2,990.09 earlier in the session, within touching distance of the key $3,000 milestone.

Bullion is also poised to log a second straight weekly rise, with a 2.5% gain so far.

U.S. gold futures rose 0.2% to $2,996.70.

"The risk-off market stance reflects investors’ expectations that trade tensions are likely to get worse before it cools, and are turning to safe-haven gold once again as a hedge against portfolio volatility," said IG market strategist Yeap Jun Rong.

Latest in U.S. President Donald Trump’s multi-front trade war, the European Union responded to blanket U.S. tariffs on steel and aluminium by imposing a 50% tax on American whiskey exports, prompting the president to threaten on Truth Social to charge a 200% tariff on imports of European wines and spirits.

"The psychological $3,000 level is now coming into view for gold prices, and as we approach the second quarter, where reciprocal tariffs could trigger another wave of market turbulence, gold remains a compelling safe-haven asset in an environment where alternatives are scarce," Rong added.

Trump’s tariffs are widely expected to stoke inflation and economic uncertainty, and have prompted gold to reach multiple record highs in 2025.

Gold is seen as a hedge against political risks and inflation.

Markets now await the Fed’s monetary policy meeting next Wednesday. The central bank is expected to keep its benchmark overnight interest rate in the 4.25%-4.50% range.

Non-yielding bullion thrives in a low interest rate environment.

Meanwhile, Russian President Vladimir Putin said on Thursday Russia supported a U.S. proposal for a ceasefire in Ukraine in principle, but sought a number of clarifications and conditions that appeared to rule out a quick end to the fighting.

Spot silver eased 0.2% to $33.72 an ounce, platinum firmed 0.1% to $995.30, and palladium gained 0.7% to $964.32.

(Reuters) -U.S. household wealth eked out a fresh record high at the end of 2024, Federal Reserve data showed on Thursday, thanks to a stock market rally that appears to have run out of steam in the past three weeks.

The net worth of households and non-profit groups rose about $200 billion to $169.4 trillion in the fourth quarter of last year, the U.S. central bank said in its quarterly U.S. financial accounts report, as a drop in the value of real estate trimmed gains from equities.

Stock market holdings, the biggest component of household net worth, rose about $300 billion to $56 trillion in value, while household real estate, the second-biggest component, fell about $400 billion to $48.1 trillion.

The S&P 1500 Composite index, which encompasses the vast majority of the U.S. stock market, gained 2.1% in the fourth quarter of 2024. It has lost nearly $4 trillion in value since President Donald Trump’s January 20 inauguration and about $2.7 trillion since this year began.

The report offers a snapshot of the broad financial health of U.S. families, businesses and the public sector at the end of former President Joe Biden’s administration. During the final full quarter of 2025, household debt grew at a 3.1% annual pace, in line with previous quarters, while non-financial sector business debt rose just 1%, the slowest pace in a year.

Federal government debt, which Trump hopes to reduce in part by slashing government payrolls and spending, expanded at a pace of 8.4%, while state and local government debt shrank 1.4%.

Investing.com-- Most Asian stocks rose on Thursday with shares in Japan and South Korea tracking an overnight rebound in U.S. tech stocks, but gains were limited amid fresh tariff threats from U.S. President Donald Trump.

Major U.S. stock indexes closed higher on Wednesday, while their futures edged higher in Asian trading as a cooler-than-expected inflation reading provided respite.

Asia tech stocks rise as Nasdaq jumps after soft CPI

In the U.S., the NASDAQ Composite jumped 1.2% overnight following softer-than-expected February Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. 

The CPI indicated a cooling of inflation, with both the overall CPI and core CPI rising only 0.2% month-on-month, below expectations. 

The positive sentiment in Asia was largely driven by gains in technology stocks, which benefited from the U.S. market’s performance. 

Investors were encouraged by the cooling inflation data, which could influence the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy decisions.

Japan’s Nikkei 225 advanced 1%, while TOPIX gained 0.9%.

SoftBank Group (TYO:9984) shares rose 1.4%, while Tokyo Electron (TYO:8035) stock jumped 1.8%.

South Korea’s KOSPI rose 0.5% with tech heavyweights Samsung Electronics (KS:005930), and SK Hynix Inc (KS:000660) gaining 0.7%, and 0.4%, respectively.

Malaysia’s FTSE Malaysia KLCI index jumped 1.2%, while India’s Nifty 50 Futures edged 0.2% higher.

However, analysts caution that despite the upbeat market movements, underlying concerns such as trade tensions and global economic uncertainties persist, suggesting that market volatility may continue in the near term.

Trump threatens more tariffs on EU, escalates trade tensions

On Wednesday, President Trump threatened additional tariffs on European Union (EU) goods if the EU proceeded with its planned counter-tariffs on U.S. products. 

This escalation came shortly after the U.S. implemented a 25% tariff on steel and aluminum imports, a move that has strained relations with key trading partners. 

The intensifying trade tensions between major Western economies have raised concerns about potential ripple effects on Asian markets. 

Given Asia’s deep integration into global trade networks, any slowdown in Western economies could dampen demand for Asian exports, thereby affecting the region’s growth trajectory.

China’s Shanghai Composite fell 0.4% on Thursday, while the Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 index inched 0.2% lower. 

Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index ticked down 0.3%.

Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 index was trading 0.1% lower at 7,782.0, on the brink of entering a market correction territory.

The index has fallen 9.7% from its record high of 8,615.20 points reached on Feb. 14.

SEOUL (Reuters) - South Korea’s central bank said on Thursday that U.S. President Donald Trump’s escalating trade war could drag on longer than expected and increase the risk of capital outflows while also raising volatility in the dollar-won market.

"Considering that the value of the won is greatly affected by fluctuations in the value of the yuan as well as the dollar, there is a possibility that the volatility of the dollar-won exchange rate will increase significantly," the Bank of Korea (BOK) said in a monetary policy report, which predicted that a trade war between the world’s two largest economies could intensify.

The report said the BOK will continue to "closely monitor foreign investment and the currency movement" as it remains wary of foreign investors pulling money out of Asia’s fourth-largest economy.

The won has gained 1.6% against the dollar so far this year, but dropped 14% last year, making it one of the worst-performing currencies in Asia.

The BOK on Feb. 25 cut interest rates by 25 basis points and significantly lowered its GDP forecasts, the third monetary easing since it started cutting rates from a 15-year high in October.

South Korea is grappling with the economic impact of U.S. President Donald Trump’s ongoing tariff war, which is likely to undermine corporate profits.

Domestic political unrest, following the brief declaration of martial law by impeached President Yoon Suk Yeol in December, also continues to dampen consumer sentiment.

By Stephen Culp

NEW YORK (Reuters) -U.S. stocks advanced on Wednesday as cooler-than-expected inflation data helped stanch a sharp selloff, while the escalation of U.S. President Donald Trump’s chaotic, multi-front tariff war kept gains in check.

The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq closed in positive territory, the latter enjoying a muscular boost from tech and tech-adjacent momentum stocks.

The blue-chip Dow waffled between red and green for much of the session but ended modestly lower on the day.

The Labor Department’s Consumer Price Index showed consumer prices cooling more than analysts expected, providing reassurance that inflation is headed in the right direction and keeping hopes alive that the U.S. Federal Reserve could cut its key interest rate this year.

"We’re seeing a bounce today on the lower-than-expected inflation read and some dip buying," said Greg Bassuk, CEO of AXS Investments in New York. "But Wall Street and Main Street are still looking for direction."

"Investors’ hopefulness about inflation cooling is being mitigated by the ongoing trade-war strife," Bassuk added. "And for that reason, we really expect the uncertainty and volatility to continue here through much of March."

In his latest tariff salvo, Trump imposed 25% duties on imported steel and aluminum, prompting Canada and Europe to respond in kind, ramping up their retaliatory tariffs on U.S. exports.

U.S. equities have come under pressure amid the rising temperature of tit-for-tat tariff disputes between the United States and its trading partners, rattling investors and giving rise to fears that the resulting price jolts could tip the United States, along with Canada and Mexico, into recession.

Goldman Sachs lowered its year-end target for the S&P 500, while J.P. Morgan sees increasing odds of a U.S. recession.

With Wednesday’s advance, the S&P 500 is 8.9% below its all-time closing high reached less than a month ago. On Monday, the bellwether index dipped below its 200-day moving average, considered a significant support level, for the first time since November 2023.

On March 6, the tech-heavy Nasdaq dipped more than 10% below its record closing high reached on December 16, confirming it has been in a correction since then.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 82.55 points, or 0.20%, to 41,350.93, the S&P 500 gained 27.23 points, or 0.49%, to 5,599.30 and the Nasdaq Composite gained 212.36 points, or 1.22%, to 17,648.45.

Technology shares led the gainers among the 11 major sectors in the S&P 500, while consumer staples and healthcare were the laggards.

Intel (NASDAQ:INTC) jumped 4.6% after a report said TSMC had pitched Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA), Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD) and Broadcom (NASDAQ:AVGO) about taking a stake in a joint venture to operate the U.S. chip company’s factories.

PepsiCo (NASDAQ:PEP) fell 2.7% after brokerage Jefferies downgraded its rating on the stock to "hold" from "buy."

Lawmakers on Capitol Hill continued to wrangle over a stopgap spending bill in an effort to avoid a government shutdown, adding further uncertainties to the mix.

Advancing issues outnumbered decliners by a 1.15-to-1 ratio on the NYSE. There were 29 new highs and 186 new lows on the NYSE.

On the Nasdaq, 2,589 stocks rose and 1,785 fell as advancing issues outnumbered decliners by a 1.45-to-1 ratio.

The S&P 500 posted no new 52-week highs and 18 new lows while the Nasdaq Composite recorded 26 new highs and 200 new lows.

Volume on U.S. exchanges was 16.14 billion shares, compared with the 16.59 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.

LONDON (Reuters) - Britain’s housing market had its slowest month in more than a year in February as a rush by buyers to close deals ahead of the expiry of a tax break ran out of steam, a survey published on Thursday showed.

The Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors said buyer demand was the weakest since November 2023 and a further softening was expected in the months ahead.

The report’s net balance of house prices - which measures the difference between surveyors reporting a rise and a fall -dropped to +11 - its lowest since September last year - down from +21 in January and a two-year high of +25 in December.

The figure was below all forecasts in a Reuters poll of economists which had pointed to only a slight slowdown.

Britain’s housing market gathered speed in recent months, helped by expectations of Bank of England interest rate cuts and by buyers seeking to beat a March 31 expiry of tax breaks for purchases of less expensive homes and for first-time buyers.

But that flurry of activity appears to have cooled now with time almost running out to beat the deadline.

RICS Chief Economist Simon Rubinsohn linked the slowdown to the expiry and to worries about inflation pressures caused by global uncertainty, which has spiked since Donald Trump took over as U.S. president.

"That said, looking beyond the next few months, sales activity is seen as likely to resume an upward trend with prices also moving higher," Rubinsohn said.

In the property rentals market, tenant demand contracted for a fourth month in a row, the longest such stretch since collection of the figures began in 2012.

But a net balance of +34% of survey participants expected rents to rise in the coming three months as the flow of properties coming on to the market dries up more quickly than demand.

Prime Minister Keir Starmer has promised to speed up house-building to help tackle the shortage of homes in Britain.