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Top 5 things to watch in markets in the week ahead

Markets enter the week on edge after a punishing stretch of tariff-driven volatility. With the first wave of U.S. tariffs taking effect Friday and more slated for April 9, investors will be watching closely for updates on global retaliation, political developments, and early signals from the corporate earnings season.


"Tariffs pose a headwind to Canadian and U.S. economic growth and put upward pressure on prices in the near term. However, the Canadian and U.S. economies entered 2025 with strong momentum," Brock Weimer, associate analyst at Edward Jones, wrote in a weekly blog post.


U.S. inflation data and a fresh deadline on the TikTok deal round out a packed week that could further increase market volatility.


1. Trade tensions escalate with tariffs set to take effect

The U.S. market selloff deepened last week as China retaliated against President Donald Trump’s sweeping 10% import taxes, fueling fears of a prolonged trade war.


The S&P 500 dropped more than 10%, marking its worst weekly loss since 2020, while global markets also posted heavy declines.


Trump’s tariffs—set to expand further on April 9—are expected to lead to a contraction in global trade, with some analysts warning of recession risks. Meanwhile, the European Union is weighing its response.


EU officials said Friday that negotiations with the U.S. were “frank,” but warned the bloc is “prepared to defend our interests” if needed.


Markets will be watching for any signs of de-escalation—or escalation—in the days ahead.


2. Trump’s social media posts continue to fuel uncertainty


President Trump continued to defend his tariff strategy over the weekend, signaling on Truth Social that he was unfazed by the market turmoil.


He claimed foreign investors were flocking to the U.S. and insisted his policies “will never change.”


While he suggested on Thursday that some countries were seeking deals ahead of Friday’s tariff deadline, Trump took a harder line on Friday morning, attacking China’s retaliatory measures.


He accused Beijing of “panicking” and reiterated his goal of stopping fentanyl shipments from China. Given last week’s developments, traders will closely monitor Trump’s feed for further updates, especially as the EU mulls its next move.


3. Earnings season kicks off with big banks

The unofficial start to earnings season arrives Friday, with reports due from BlackRock Inc (NYSE:BLK), JPMorgan Chase & Co (NYSE:JPM), Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS), and Wells Fargo & Company (NYSE:WFC).


Retailers and airlines also report earlier in the week. Levi Strauss & Co Class A (NYSE:LEVI) posts results Monday, followed by Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc (NASDAQ:WBA) and Cal-Maine Foods Inc (NASDAQ:CALM) on Tuesday.


Delta Air Lines Inc (NYSE:DAL) reports Wednesday, providing a key look at the travel industry amid rising costs and geopolitical stress.


Still, with markets focused on Trump’s next move, positive earnings surprises may not be enough to shift sentiment if trade tensions continue to mount. Analysts warn that rising economic uncertainty from the trade dispute could weigh on investor sentiment.


4. March CPI in focus amid tariff-driven inflation fears

Thursday’s CPI report will offer a timely read on U.S. inflation as tariffs begin to ripple through supply chains.


Economists at Barclays expect the March print to be “benign and relatively unaffected by tariffs,” but warn that inflation could rise sharply later in the year due to the April 2 “Liberation Day” tariffs.


“If in line with our forecast, this could be one of the softest inflation prints we receive this year,” the bank said.


The report could influence expectations for a Fed rate cut in May, though stickier inflation driven by protectionist policy may complicate the central bank’s path.


5. TikTok Deal Deadline Extended

Trump extended the deadline for ByteDance to sell TikTok’s U.S. operations by 75 days, pushing the new cutoff into mid-June. The president said more time was needed to finalize approvals but stressed that national security concerns remain unresolved.


ByteDance confirmed ongoing talks with the U.S. government, while Amazon.com Inc (NASDAQ:AMZN), Oracle Corporation (NYSE:ORCL), and Applovin Corp (NASDAQ:APP) have all expressed interest in acquiring the app’s U.S. assets.


Trump’s latest comments also tied the deal to broader trade tensions with China, saying he hoped to continue negotiations “in Good Faith.”


Any updates on this front could add another layer of volatility to a market already rattled by geopolitical uncertainty.


2025-04-07 07:33:11
Dollar swoons as traders weigh tariff fallout ahead of US jobs report

By Kevin Buckland


TOKYO (Reuters) -The U.S. dollar sank on Friday and the safe-haven yen strengthened towards a six-month peak, as traders weighed the fallout from President Donald Trump’s aggressive and far-reaching new tariff measures.


The dollar slipped toward a six-month trough against the euro prior to the release of a crucial monthly U.S. payrolls report later in the day that will offer clues to the health of the economy and the outlook for monetary easing.


Traders now predict four quarter-point interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve in the remainder of this year, and reduced the odds of further Bank of Japan tightening to almost nil.


The risk-sensitive Australian and New Zealand dollars plunged.


Shockwaves from Trump’s harsher-than-expected tariffs were still rippling through markets more than 24 hours after being unveiled.


Stocks took the brunt of a searing selloff, driving investors to the safety of assets such as bonds and gold on fears that a full-blown trade war could trigger a global slowdown and stoke inflation.


The dollar had already been on the backfoot this year after initial euphoria over Trump’s policy agenda turned into worry that his focus on trade barriers could lead to stagflation, or even a U.S. recession.


The dollar index, a measure of the currency against a basket of six major peers, plunged 1.9% on Thursday, its worst day since November 2022, and was down a further 0.3% in the latest session.


The dollar weakened 0.31% to 145.65 yen by 0440 GMT. It slumped 2.2% in the prior session, at one point dipping as low as 145.19 yen for the first time since October 2.


It tumbled 0.71% to 0.8532 Swiss franc, another traditional safe haven, at a fresh six-month trough.

The euro rose 0.33% to $1.1088, after jumping as high as $1.1147 on Thursday, a level not seen since September 30.

Sterling was steady at $1.3101, following its push as high as $1.3207 a day earlier, the first time it had hit that level since October 3.

"’Uncertainty’ is the word of 2025, and while we now have the tariff rates and the timeline, and Trump and (Treasury Secretary Scott) Bessent have shown some willingness to negotiate, the questions being asked of the market have only increased," Chris Weston, head of research at Pepperstone, wrote in a note to clients.

"The loss of confidence to hold U.S. dollars is clear."

Echoing that sentiment, Deutsche Bank warned on Thursday of the risk of a crisis of confidence in the U.S. dollar, saying major shifts in capital flow allocations could take over from currency fundamentals and spark disorderly currency moves.

Trump said he would impose a 10% baseline tariff on all imports to the United States and higher duties on some of its biggest trading partners, including a rate of 20% on the European Union and a rate of 24% on Japan.

China now faces combined duties of some 64%, when also factoring in a tariff of 10% that Trump levied in his first presidential term.

Both China and the EU vowed countermeasures, raising the risk of a broader trade war.

Chinese markets are observing a national holiday on Friday, but the dollar slid 0.5% to 7.2450 yuan in offshore trade, its lowest since March 20. On Thursday, it had leapt as much as 0.7% to a two-month high at 7.3485.

The Australian dollar, which often acts as a liquid proxy for the yuan, as well as being a barometer of risk sentiment, tumbled 1.38% to $0.6421. Similarly, the New Zealand dollar plunged 1.28% to $0.5720.

"I think Aussie is really starting to come around now to the scope of the tariffs on Australia’s largest trading partner," said Tony Sycamore, an analyst at IG.

"The situation is absolutely horrendous for China."

Economists estimate the U.S. economy added 135,000 jobs in March, down from 151,000 the month before, ahead of the release of Friday’s report.

A few hours afterwards, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is set to deliver a speech on the economic outlook.

Traders have ramped up bets for Fed easing this year in the aftermath of Trump’s latest tariffs, penciling in quarter-point cuts for June, July, October and December.

The two-year U.S. Treasury yield, which is sensitive to policy expectations, sank some 6 basis points (bps) to 3.6611% on Friday, extending an 18 bps slide from the previous day.

By contrast, traders only predict about 8 bps of rate hikes by the BOJ by year-end, whereas one quarter-point rise was previously seen early in the second half of the year.

In cryptocurrencies, bitcoin rose 0.5% to just shy of $83,000, continuing to trade in a relatively tight range over the past few weeks, despite the chaos in most other markets.

2025-04-04 13:51:27
Asia stocks slide further on Trump tariffs; Japan, Australia both at 8-mth lows

Asian stocks extended steep losses on Friday as fears of a global recession intensified following U.S. President Donald Trump’s announcement of sweeping trade tariffs. 


Japan’s Nikkei 225 led regional declines, falling over 2.4%, while broader markets across South Korea, and Australia also retreated sharply.


Stock markets in China, Hong Kong, Taiwan, and Indonesia were closed on Friday for respective public holidays, contributing to thin trading volumes in the region.


Friday’s sell-off followed a dismal session on Wall Street, where major U.S. indexes plummeted.


The S&P 500 tumbled 4.8% on Thursday, its biggest one-day drop in nearly five years, while the tech-heavy NASDAQ Composite slid 6%. The sharp U.S. losses spilled over into Asian markets, as traders braced for prolonged volatility.


Asia braces for economic hit from Trump’s aggressive tariffs

Trump’s tariffs included a blanket 10% duty on all imports, alongside higher, targeted levies of up to 49% on some nations.


China now faces a combined 54% tariffs, with the 20% tariffs already in place. 


Trump’s aggressive trade stance has sparked concern that global supply chains—many of which are centered in Asia—could be severely disrupted, leading to slower economic growth in export-reliant economies.


China, Japan, and South Korea, which count the U.S. among their top export destinations, could be hit hard as demand for their goods could weaken amid higher prices and retaliatory trade measures. 


“The reciprocal tariff would hit Southeast Asian countries, where many Chinese companies have set up manufacturing hubs in the past few years to export to other countries including the US,” UBS analysts said in a note.


Investors also worry that strained trade relations could discourage business investment and weigh on corporate earnings across the region.

Both Japanese and Australian stock markets hit 8-mth lows
Japan’s Nikkei slumped nearly 3% on Friday, after falling as much as 5% a day earlier. The index was at its lowest level since early August 2024.

TOPIX declined 3.5%, and was on the brink of entering a correction territory.

Losses in Japan were also attributable to a stronger yen, which weighs on exporters.

Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 fell as much as 2% to an eight-month low.

Other regional markets were also sharply lower. Singapore’s Straits Times Index lost 2.8%.

Futures for India’s Nifty 50 were 0.2% lower.

S. Korea’s constitutional court ousts President Yoon; KOSPI down
South Korea’s KOSPI declined 1.5%. 

​South Korea’s Constitutional Court on Friday unanimously upheld the impeachment of President Yoon Suk Yeol, officially removing him from office. 

The decision follows Yoon’s controversial declaration of martial law in December 2024, which the court deemed a serious violation of the Constitution and a betrayal of public trust.

2025-04-04 11:10:21
OPEC+ unexpectedly speeds up oil output hikes, oil drops

By Olesya Astakhova, Ahmad Ghaddar and Alex Lawler


LONDON/MOSCOW (Reuters) - Eight OPEC+ countries unexpectedly agreed on Thursday to advance their plan to phase out oil output cuts by increasing output by 411,000 barrels per day in May, a decision that prompted oil prices to extend earlier sharp losses.


Oil, which was already down over 4% on U.S. President Donald Trump’s announcement of tariffs on trading partners, extended declines after OPEC updated its plans in a statement, with Brent crude dropping over 6% to below $70 a barrel.


Eight members of OPEC+, which includes the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies led by Russia, had been scheduled to raise output by 135,000 barrels per day in May as part of a plan to gradually unwind their most recent layer of output cuts.


But after a meeting of the eight countries held online on Thursday, the group announced it would boost output by 411,000 bpd in May. OPEC cited "continuing healthy market fundamentals and the positive market outlook."


"This comprises the increment originally planned for May in addition to two monthly increments," OPEC said in a statement referring to the volume. "The gradual increases may be paused or reversed subject to evolving market conditions."


The increase will reduce fears arising from any disruption to Iranian supply as Trump restores maximum pressure on Tehran, also an OPEC member. The U.S. President, who has called on OPEC to lower prices since starting his second term, may visit Saudi Arabia as soon as next month.


The May hike is the next increment of a plan agreed by Russia, Saudi Arabia, UAE, Kuwait, Iraq, Algeria, Kazakhstan and Oman to gradually unwind their most recent output cut of 2.2 million bpd, which came into effect this month.


OPEC+ also has 3.65 million bpd of other output cuts in place until the end of next year to support the market. The total of 5.85 million bpd is equal to about 5.7% of global supply.


FOCUS ON COMPLIANCE


The decision on Thursday partly reflects OPEC+ leaders’ wish to improve compliance with production quotas, analysts said.


"OPEC+ focus is on compliance and this decision forces the laggards to step up compliance," said Amrita Sen, co-founder of Energy Aspects.


Record output in Kazakhstan has angered several other members of the group, including top producer Saudi Arabia, sources have told Reuters. OPEC+ is urging the Central Asian country, among other members, to make further cuts to compensate for excess production.


Kazakhstan has been producing oil well above the targets agreed with OPEC+ in recent months. OPEC data also shows some other OPEC+ nations such as the United Arab Emirates, Nigeria and Gabon pumping above their quotas, but by far smaller amounts.


Production in Kazakhstan could drop this month and exports could decline after Russia ordered to shut some export capacity on the CPC pipeline, the main evacuation route for oil in Kazakhstan produced by oil majors such as U.S. Chevron (NYSE:CVX) and Exxon Mobil (NYSE:XOM).


The eight OPEC+ countries will meet on May 5 to decide on June output, OPEC’s statement said.


(This story has been refiled to fix the spelling of ‘Iranian’ in paragraph 6)

2025-04-04 08:14:43
Stock market today: S&P 500 in biggest slump since 2020 as Trump’s tariffs bite

The S&P 500 suffered its biggest one-day slumped since 2020 after U.S. President Donald Trump announced comprehensive trade tariffs, prompting fears of an all-out trade war that could result in a global recession.


At 4:00 p.m. ET (21:00 GMT), the blue-chip Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1,679.4 points or 4%, the benchmark S&P 500 plunged by 4.8%, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite fell 6%.


Trump tariffs prompt sharp selloff

President Trump announced sweeping new tariffs on Wednesday, imposing a 10% levy on all imports and significantly higher rates on countries deemed "bad actors." 


China faces an additional 34% tariff on top of the 20% duties already in place. The European Union, Japan, and others will see tariffs ranging from 20% to 49%. 


The broad tariffs take effect on April 5, with the country-specific hikes starting April 9.


Trump justified the tariffs by citing unfair trade practices and currency manipulation, asserting that these measures would rejuvenate American industries and reduce the national debt.


The "U.S. tariffs announcement was more hawkish than expected, particularly for Europe and China, with rates at 20% and ~54%," said analysts at Barclays, in a note. "Although there may be room for negotiation and many twists ahead, high tariffs and lingering uncertainty raise recession risk. Likely worse before getting better for stocks."


These tariff policies could see U.S. gross domestic product take a 10% hit in the second quarter of 2025, High Frequency Economics Chief Economist Carl Weinberg said in a note Thursday, potentially pushing the world’s largest economy into a recession after a predicted small contraction in the first quarter.


Weinberg estimated that tariffs would take $741 billion out of U.S. household real incomes or corporate profits, or more if fully accounting for all tariffs on aluminum, steel and non-exempt trade with Canada and Mexico. 


UBS estimates that if these tariffs remain in place, real GDP could decline by 1.5 to 2 percentage points in 2025, while inflation could approach 5%. 


The Swiss bank states that this scenario "has the potential to considerably worsen the growth inflation mix in the U.S. and the global economy in the coming year."


UBS analysts have set a near-term target of 5300 for the S&P 500, but warned in a note to clients  that ongoing tariff uncertainty could drive the index below 5000. 


Tariffs could hit Apple’s net profit by 14% - Jefferies

A number of the country’s major corporations have been hit hard by the tariffs news, with Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL), down 9%, a prime example given the hefty tariff on China - the base for much of Apple’s manufacturing.


Jefferies analysts warned that proposed U.S. tariffs on Chinese imports could significantly impact Apple’s profitability, estimating a potential 14% reduction in the company’s net profit for fiscal 2025 if it is not granted an exemption.


Shares of big sellers of imported goods were among the hardest hit. Five Below (NASDAQ:FIVE), Dollar Tree (NASDAQ:DLTR) and Gap (NYSE:GAP), for example, all suffered double digit percentage losses. 


Retailers were also hit hard, with Nike (NYSE:NKE) and Walmart (NYSE:WMT) slumping after tariffs were imposed on major production hubs including Vietnam, Indonesia and China.


Tech shares also dropped in an overall risk-off mood, with Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) and Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) both around more than 7% and 5% respectively. 


Jobless claims drop; March jobs report looms

The number of Americans filing new applications for unemployment benefits fell last week, dropping 6,000 for the week ended March 29, pointing to continued labor market stability ahead of potential volatility from import tariffs.


Private payrolls, released on Wednesday, surprised to the upside, while JOLTS job openings disappointed earlier in the week, setting the scene for Friday’s nonfarm payrolls release.


That said, the Federal Reserve’s decision making as far as rate cuts are concerned could well now be determined by the impact on the U.S. economy from the trade tariffs.


Federal Reserve Governor Adriana Kugler said there were "upside risks" to inflation associated with Trump’s policy changes.


But these tariffs will likely dampen near-term growth, increase market volatility, and prompt the Federal Reserve to deliver significant rate cuts later this year, according to UBS.


The bank’s base case scenario assumes rate cuts of 75 to 100 basis points (bps) over the remainder of 2025.


(Peter Nurse, Ayushman Ojha and Scott Kanowsky contributed to this article.)

2025-04-04 07:28:10
U.S. tariff rate now at 22%, highest since 1910- Fitch

The sweeping new U.S. import tariffs announced by President Donald Trump have pushed the country’s average tariff rate to 22%, up from just 2.5% in 2024, according to Fitch Ratings.


That level of protectionism hasn’t been seen since around 1910, Fitch’s U.S. economic research head Olu Sonola said in a statement following the announcement.


"This is a game changer, not only for the U.S. economy but for the global economy," Sonola said. "Many countries will likely end up in a recession. You can throw most forecasts out the door, if this tariff rate stays on for an extended period of time."


Trump introduced a 10% baseline tariff on all imports, with significantly steeper rates for key trading partners, including 34% on China and 20% on the European Union. The administration also confirmed a 25% tariff on auto and auto parts. Speaking from the White House Rose Garden, Trump said the new tariffs would help restore critical manufacturing sectors to the U.S.


Over the coming months, the most immediate effect of the new levies is expected to be higher prices on thousands of consumer and business goods. That price pressure could curb demand both domestically and globally, adding to the risk of recession.


Tariff rates vary significantly by country—from 10% on UK imports to 49% on goods from Cambodia—suggesting uneven economic impacts. A broadening trade war would likely hit China especially hard, as it faces weak internal demand and would need to find new export markets.


If the U.S. economy begins to slide into recession under the weight of these tariffs, the repercussions would extend to many developing economies that rely on U.S. demand.


Financial markets reacted sharply, with stock futures falling and investors rotating into traditional safe havens including bonds, gold, and the Japanese yen.

2025-04-03 15:14:04
World leaders react to Trump’s tariffs

(This April 2 story has been corrected to delete Japanese PM Ishiba’s March 27 comment)


(Reuters) - U.S. President Donald Trump said he would impose a 10% baseline tariff on all imports to the United States and higher duties on some of the country’s biggest trading partners, drawing defiant responses from leaders and governments around the world.


Trump is not imposing his new 10% global tariff rate on goods from top trading partners Canada and Mexico while his previous order remains in place for up to 25% tariffs on many goods from the two countries over border control and fentanyl trafficking issues, the White House said in a fact sheet.


Here are some reactions from top officials and governments around the world:


EUROPEAN COMMISSION PRESIDENT URSULA VON DER LEYEN


"President Trump’s announcement of universal tariffs on the whole world, including the EU, is a major blow to the world economy."


"Uncertainty will spiral and trigger the rise of further protectionism. The consequences will be dire for millions of people around the globe."


"We are already finalising a first package of countermeasures in response to tariffs on steel. And we are now preparing for further countermeasures, to protect our interests and our businesses if negotiations fail."


CHINA COMMERCE MINISTRY


"China firmly opposes this and will take countermeasures to safeguard its own rights and interests."


"There are no winners in trade wars, and there is no way out for protectionism. China urges the U.S. to immediately lift unilateral tariffs and properly resolve differences with its trading partners through dialogue on an equal footing."


(This April 2 story has been corrected to delete Japanese PM Ishiba’s March 27 comment)


(Reuters) - U.S. President Donald Trump said he would impose a 10% baseline tariff on all imports to the United States and higher duties on some of the country’s biggest trading partners, drawing defiant responses from leaders and governments around the world.


Trump is not imposing his new 10% global tariff rate on goods from top trading partners Canada and Mexico while his previous order remains in place for up to 25% tariffs on many goods from the two countries over border control and fentanyl trafficking issues, the White House said in a fact sheet.


Here are some reactions from top officials and governments around the world:


EUROPEAN COMMISSION PRESIDENT URSULA VON DER LEYEN


"President Trump’s announcement of universal tariffs on the whole world, including the EU, is a major blow to the world economy."


"Uncertainty will spiral and trigger the rise of further protectionism. The consequences will be dire for millions of people around the globe."


"We are already finalising a first package of countermeasures in response to tariffs on steel. And we are now preparing for further countermeasures, to protect our interests and our businesses if negotiations fail."


CHINA COMMERCE MINISTRY


"China firmly opposes this and will take countermeasures to safeguard its own rights and interests."


"There are no winners in trade wars, and there is no way out for protectionism. China urges the U.S. to immediately lift unilateral tariffs and properly resolve differences with its trading partners through dialogue on an equal footing."


CANADIAN PRIME MINISTER MARK CARNEY


"(Trump) has preserved a number of important elements of our relationship, the commercial relationship between Canada and the United States. But the fentanyl tariffs still remain in place, as do the tariffs for steel and aluminum."


"We are going to fight these tariffs with countermeasures, we are going to protect our workers, and we are going to build the strongest economy in the G7."


BRAZILIAN FOREIGN MINISTRY


"The Brazilian government regrets the decision made by the North American government today, April 2, to impose additional tariffs of no more than 10% on all Brazilian exports to that country."


"The Brazilian government is evaluating all possible actions to ensure reciprocity in bilateral trade, including resorting to the World Trade Organization, in defense of legitimate national interests."


AUSTRALIAN PRIME MINISTER ANTHONY ALBANESE


"The (Trump) administration’s tariffs have no basis in logic and they go against the basis of our two nations’ partnership. This is not the act of a friend. Today’s decision will add to uncertainty in the global economy and it will push up costs for American households."


SOUTH KOREAN ACTING PRESIDENT HAN DUCK-SOO


"As the global trade war has become a reality, the government must pour all its capabilities to overcome the trade crisis."


NEW ZEALAND TRADE MINISTER TODD MCCLAY


"New Zealand’s interests are best served in a world where trade flows freely ... New Zealand’s bilateral relationship with the U.S. remains strong. We will be talking with the administration to get more information, and our exporters to better understand the impact this announcement will have."


SPANISH PRIME MINISTER PEDRO SANCHEZ


"Spain will protect its companies and workers and will continue to be committed to an open world."


SWEDISH PRIME MINISTER ULF KRISTERSSON


"We don’t want growing trade barriers. We don’t want a trade war ... We want to find our way back to a path of trade and cooperation together with the US, so that people in our countries can enjoy a better life."


SWISS PRESIDENT KARIN KELLER-SUTTER


"(The Federal Council) will quickly determine the next steps. The country’s long-term economic interests are paramount. Adherence to international law and free trade remain core values."


IRISH PRIME MINISTER MICHEAL MARTIN


"The decision by the U.S. tonight to impose 20% tariffs on imports from across the European Union is deeply regrettable. I strongly believe that tariffs benefit no one. My priority, and that of the government, is to protect Irish jobs and the Irish economy."


ITALIAN PRIME MINISTER GIORGIA MELONI


"We will do everything we can to work towards an agreement with the United States, with the goal of avoiding a trade war that would inevitably weaken the West in favor of other global players."


MANFRED WEBER, PRESIDENT OF THE EPP, LARGEST PARTY IN EUROPEAN PARLIAMENT


"To our American friends, today isn’t liberation day - it’s resentment day. Donald Trump’s tariffs don’t defend fair trade; they attack it out of fear and hurt both sides of the Atlantic. Europe stands united, ready to defend its interests, and open to fair, firm talks."


"We will only make U.S. imports more expensive if they take away our jobs. But we won’t raise tariffs if their goods help create higher-value jobs."

2025-04-03 13:55:53
Asia stocks slide; Nikkei hits 8-mth low after Trump tariffs roil markets

Asian stocks tumbled on Thursday, with Japan leading the declines, after U.S. President Donald Trump unveiled sweeping 10% tariffs on most imports and much higher reciprocal duties on some countries.


U.S. stock futures plummeted between 3% and 5% in early Asia hours.


Trump’s tariff hike sparks global trade concerns

President Trump on Wednesday announced a comprehensive overhaul of U.S. trade policy, instituting a universal 10% tariff on all imported goods, effective April 5, 2025. 


Additionally, "reciprocal tariffs" targeting specific nations deemed to have significant trade barriers against U.S. products will take effect on April 9, 2025. These reciprocal tariffs are approximately half of the rates those countries impose on U.S. exports.


Under this new policy, China faces a combined tariff of 54%, with the new 34% surcharge atop an existing 20% levy. 


Other notable tariffs include 24% on Japan, 20% on the European Union, 26% on India, 32% on Taiwan, and 46% on Vietnam. 


Additionally, a 25% tariff on foreign-made automobiles and key auto parts was set to take effect on April 3, 2025.


The announcement could have dire implications for Asian economies, particularly export-driven nations like China, Japan, and Vietnam. The increased tariffs may lead to reduced export volumes to the U.S., potentially slowing economic growth in these countries. 


Japan’s Nikkei hits 8-month low on tariff hit

Japan’s Nikkei 225 slumped as much as 4.7% on Thursday to its lowest level since early August 2024. It was trading 2.8% lower as of 02:08 GMT. 


TOPIX index declined 3.1%.


“Since the US announced 25% auto tariffs will take effect from April 3, Japanese stocks have pulled back significantly and underperformed other major markets,” JPMorgan analysts said in a recent note.


Tariffs impacting Japan include item-specific duties, such as on autos and semiconductors, and reciprocal tariffs. The latter will have a smaller effect due to Japan’s low tax rates. However, a 25% tariff on autos—making up one-third of Japan’s exports to the U.S.—could have a major impact, according to JPMorgan.


JPMorgan analysts highlighted that major Japanese automakers, including Toyota (TYO:7203), Honda (TYO:7267), and Nissan (TYO:7201) would likely face higher costs, potential price increases, and weaker demand, weighing on earnings.


Asia stocks fall; China services PMI, Australia trade data in focus

China’s Shanghai Composite inched 0.2% lower, while the Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 index lost 0.4%. 


Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index dropped 1.8%.


Data on Thursday showed that China’s services sector grew more than expected in March, with the Caixin Services PMI rising above expectations to 51.9.


In Australia, data showed that the trade balance sank to a more than four-year low in February, as exports fell sharply.


Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 index fell 1.1%.


Other regional markets were also lower. Singapore’s Straits Times Index lost 0.4%.


South Korea’s KOSPI declined 1.2%, while the Philippines’ PSEi Composite dropped 1%.


Futures for India’s Nifty 50 were 0.2% lower.

2025-04-03 12:01:15
Stocks slump as US tariffs hit tech hardest

SINGAPORE (Reuters) -Stocks dived and investors scrambled to the safety of bonds, gold and the yen on Thursday as U.S. President Donald Trump unveiled a bigger-than-expected wall of tariffs around the world’s largest economy, upending trade and supply chains.


The high-flying tech sector was pummelled as manufacturing hubs in China and Taiwan faced new tariffs above 30%, bringing the total new levy to an eye-watering 54% on imports from China.


"The U.S. effective tariff rate on all imports look to be the highest level in over a century," said Citi’s global rates trading strategist, Ben Wiltshire.


Nasdaq futures tumbled 4% and in after-hours trade some $760 billion was wiped from the market value of Magnificent Seven technology leaders. Apple shares (NASDAQ:AAPL), hit hardest as the company makes iPhones in China, were down nearly 7%.


S&P 500 futures fell 3.3%, FTSE futures fell 1.8%, while European futures fell nearly 2%.[.N]


Gold hit a record high above $3,160 an ounce, and oil, a proxy for global growth, slumped more than 3% to put benchmark Brent futures at $72.56 a barrel. [GOL/][O/R]


In early trade in Tokyo, the Nikkei was down 3.9% at an eight-month low, with nearly every index member falling as shippers, banks, insurers and exporters copped a beating.


Benchmark 10-year Treasury yields shot down 14 basis points to a five-month low of 4.04% as investors braced for slower U.S. growth, while interest rate futures priced in a higher chance of interest rate cuts in the months ahead.


"The tariffs are so comprehensive and so much larger than we expected," said Jeanette Gerratty, chief economist at wealth advisory Robertson Stephens in the U.S. tech heartland of Menlo Park, California.


"People were talking earlier about whether clarity would boost the market. But now you have clarity, and no one likes what they see."


RISK TO GLOBAL TRADE


Trump announced a baseline 10% tariff on imports with far higher levies on some trading partners, particularly in Asia.


Besides China’s 34% tax, Japan got a 24% tariff, Vietnam 46% and South Korea 25%. The European Union was hit with a 20% levy.


South Korea’s Kospi fell 2%. Van Eck’s Vietnam ETF fell more than 8% in after-hours trade. Australian shares fell 2%.


Markets in Taiwan were closed for a holiday.


China’s yuan touched a two-month low in offshore trade, ahead of the onshore open. Ten-year Japanese government bond futures made their sharpest jump in eight months.


"The tariffs announced today lead to significant risk to global trade," said Zhiwei Zhang, chief economist at Pinpoint Asset Management in Hong Kong.


"Supply chains in East Asia face pressure in particular."


The U.S. dollar was higher against Asian currencies in rollercoaster currency trade, except against the safe-haven yen which rose to the strong side of 148 yen per dollar..


Trump also shut a loophole used to ship low-value packages from China, which is likely to hurt China’s giant online retailers.


Trading partners are expected to respond with countermeasures of their own that could lead to dramatically higher prices.


"The tariff rates unveiled this morning far exceed baseline expectations, and if they aren’t negotiated down promptly, expectations for a recession in the U.S. will rise dramatically," IG market analyst Tony Sycamore said.

2025-04-03 08:21:46
Gold prices soar to record high above $3,160/oz after Trump tariffs rattle markets

Gold prices rushed to a record high in early Asian trading on Thursday, benefiting from heightened safe haven demand after U.S. President Donald Trump imposed sweeping trade tariffs.


Trump’s tariffs, which will include universal tariffs and specific duties against at least 18 countries, stand to potentially upend global trade and also run the risk of denting U.S. and global economic growth. 


This sparked a severe risk-off move in broader financial markets, pushing traders into safe havens such as gold and the Japanese yen. Gold also benefited from a decline in the dollar, although broader metal prices all retreated. 


Spot gold hit a record high of $3,165.64 an ounce, while gold futures expiring in June hit a peak of $3,198.40/oz.


Trump imposes sweeping universal, reciprocal tariffs 

Trump on Wednesday evening announced a 10% duty on all U.S. imports, and additional, reciprocal tariffs against major economies which will be equivalent to half of their duties on American goods.


China was by far the worst hit by this move, with total tariffs on the country, since Trump’s inauguration, now coming up to 54%. 


The European Union will see 20% tariffs, while Vietnam, Taiwan, Japan, and India were slapped with tariffs between 24% and 46%. 


Countries with lower duties on U.S. imports were subject to lower tariffs. These include Brazil, Chile, Australia, the UK, and Colombia- all of which will be subject to 10% tariffs. 


The baseline tariffs will take effect from April 5, while Trump’s reciprocal tariffs will begin on April 9.


The reciprocal tariffs also do not apply to certain imports, including copper, pharmaceuticals, lumber, gold, energy, and select minerals unavailable in the U.S., the White House said. 

But investors grew increasingly concerned over the economic impact of Trump’s tariffs, given that they will be borne by U.S. importers, with prices being eventually passed on to consumers.

Such a scenario stands to underpin U.S. inflation, while higher input costs could also dent business activity and spark a recession. 

Metal prices drop after Trump imposes tariffs 
Broader metal prices largely lagged gold, as safe haven buying appeared to be directed solely towards the bullion. 

Platinum futures sank 1.1% to $996.85/oz, while silver futures fell 1.2% to $34.235/oz.

Among industrial metals, U.S. copper futures slid 2.2% to $4.9200 a pound after Trump excluded the red metal from his tariffs. Expectations of a U.S. supply crunch from Trump’s tariffs had pushed U.S. copper futures to record highs.

Benchmark copper futures on the London Metal Exchange rose 0.1% to $9,694.45 a ton.

2025-04-03 07:10:30